How did SHADOW.COM predict Trump’s Win where all other polls failed?

screen-shot-2016-11-09-at-10-33-58

The crowd’s voting in SHADOW.COM poll

Welcome to the White House, Mr. President–a new era in America has certainly begun, and it promises to be an interesting one. 

Back in May 2016, SHADOW.COM, launched an ongoing political poll with more than 26,000 users casting their votes. The question at hand “If the election for president were being held today, for whom would you vote?”. 65-69% of users who participated in the poll voted for Donald Trump, 21-24% voted for Hillary, and the remainder said they would abstain from voting completely.  An accurate forecast? As it turns out, completely. We harnessed the power of the crowd, hearing the unbiased voice of the people, and it’s accuracy is pretty astounding.

Whether you are pleased with the outcome or are contemplating relocation, there is no argument that America certainly flexed it democratic muscle bringing a rather unlikely candidate to the Oval Office. For the past eighteen months, news outlets across the globe have reveled in the insanity that has been the 2016 presidential elections.  As with any election, the media circus that surrounds it can be rather overwhelming. With all the opinions, skewed presentations, and biases that run rampant in news coverage, it is all too easy to be left with a distorted image of what it really happening. That’s where we step in. With most established media outlets having predicted Clinton’s win with a great amount of certainly, how was it so easy for a crowd-sourcing site like ours to predict what most other media channels could not?

It’s simple. We pride ourselves on drowning out the noise, and just presenting you with the facts, what the crowd is really thinking.

 

It is not the first time. SHADOW.COM predicted a political victory. We correctly predicted the victory of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as well as the results of Brexit,– in both cases going against the general media consensus.

Part of the reason SHADOW.COM has been able to so accurately predict outcomes, is its emphasis on voter anonymity. When users are able to voice their opinions cloaked in a layer of total anonymity, they are more likely to unabashedly speak their minds. Unlike other social media websites where users are exposed and generally more vulnerable, SHADOW.COM is able to hear an non-skewed opinion from the crowd. Even those with more unpopular, or taboo political opinions can freely voice them, creating a truly free social media outlet.

screen-shot-2016-11-09-at-10-33-14

Another example of the power of the opinion of the crowd, is the FBI investigation of Hillary’s emails. Two weeks prior to the elections the head of the FBI announced the reopening of the case, only to close it six days after-a move which seemed very strange to most. The general assumption of the media and political experts was that when the investigation closed, Hillary was “clean” and the obstacle or cloud was over, while in reality we could see that the closure of the investigation did not prevent a sharp rise in Trump’s popularity. The average voter assumed that such a rush closure is proof that Hillary can “pull the strings” and manipulate the system, as Trump claimed. So what seemed to be a good development in favor of Clinton, turned out to be very much against her.

Once again the technology of “Hearing the Crowd” has proven to be far more useful and accurate than sophisticated polls managed by experts.

5 thoughts on “How did SHADOW.COM predict Trump’s Win where all other polls failed?

  1. Debbie says:

    So if your predictions are always correct what do u predict for his presidency. Will he be successful or a disaster

    1. shadow says:

      There’s no crystal ball here and It’s not “our” predictions. It’s the collective sentiment of the crowd that votes freely and anonymously. We can run a poll on whether Trump will be successful president or not, but even if the crowd sentiment is positive (or negative) about it it doesn’t really predict that that would happen.

  2. SEYMORE BRYAN says:

    ‘TRUMP’S TRUSTFUL TRUEHEARTED TRUCE, TRUNCATES TRUSTLESS TRUSTEES.’

  3. Hello my name is Sabrina Warren and I just wanted to send you a quick message here instead of calling you. I discovered your How did SHADOW.COM predict Trump’s Win where all other polls failed? | The Shadow.com Official Blog website and noticed you could have a lot more visitors. I have found that the key to running a successful website is making sure the visitors you are getting are interested in your website topic. There is a company that you can get keyword targeted visitors from and they let you try the service for free for 7 days. I managed to get over 300 targeted visitors to day to my website. http://bbqr.me/4g5j

  4. Ann Weaver says:

    I discovered your How did SHADOW.COM predict Trump’s Win where all other polls failed? | The Shadow.com Official Blog page and noticed you could have a lot more traffic. I have found that the key to running a website is making sure the visitors you are getting are interested in your subject matter. We can send you targeted traffic and we let you try it for free. Get over 1,000 targeted visitors per day to your website. Check it out here: http: // rofel.me/1 Unsubscribe here: http: // pcgroup.com.uy/2a

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *